Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Lander wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 44.8% vs Backes 48.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lander 68.8%
Neutral zone
Lander 70.1%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Lander
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Lander
Backes
Last 6: Lander 0-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Lander
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Lander
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Lander
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (296)
49.1% (967)
-3.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.1% (189)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
45.2% (168)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Lander is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Lander shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Lander
Backes
Home
47.7% (195)
48.1% (690)
Away
37.6% (149)
49.2% (663)
By Period
Lander
Backes
P1
39.7%
49.0%
P2
45.9%
50.2%
P3
45.0%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
43.3%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | David Backes |