Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 47.4% vs Backes 51.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 56.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 71.1%
Neutral zone
Paquette 65.8%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Paquette
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paquette
Backes
Last 6: Paquette 2-4 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
2
Paquette
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Paquette
Backes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (474)
52.0% (179)
-5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
55.8% (52)
-55.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (23)
27.3% (11)
+29.2%
On power play, Backes has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Paquette is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Paquette shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Paquette
Backes
Home
50.2% (233)
53.8% (160)
Away
44.0% (266)
47.6% (82)
By Period
Paquette
Backes
P1
42.0%
53.8%
P2
47.6%
58.0%
P3
51.6%
41.4%
Final 5 min
43.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |