Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Backes wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.4% vs Carter 49.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 58.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Backes
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Carter
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Backes
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Backes
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (123)
49.6% (242)
+5.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
59.1% (22)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
40.0% (50)
-3.6%
On power play, Carter has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Backes is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Backes shoots right. Carter is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Backes
Carter
Home
46.6% (103)
48.6% (173)
Away
57.9% (57)
48.9% (141)
By Period
Backes
Carter
P1
52.1%
52.1%
P2
52.0%
47.8%
P3
48.4%
46.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |