Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 49.7% vs Stepan 39.9% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 83.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 74.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Desharnais
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Desharnais
Stepan
Last 7: Desharnais 2-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Desharnais
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
1
Desharnais
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Desharnais
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (363)
38.6% (630)
+11.5%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
45.3% (64)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
22.7% (22)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Desharnais is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Desharnais shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Stepan
Home
50.9% (212)
39.0% (364)
Away
48.5% (233)
38.0% (355)
By Period
Desharnais
Stepan
P1
54.5%
39.4%
P2
51.2%
40.6%
P3
42.6%
36.4%
OT
50.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |