Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Legwand wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 46.5% vs Staal 52.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 76.6%
Defensive zone
Legwand 76.3%
Neutral zone
Legwand 76.0%
Result
David Legwand favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Legwand
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Legwand
Staal
Last 8: Legwand 1-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Legwand
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Legwand
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Legwand
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (892)
52.5% (1,228)
-7.9%
Power Play
62.3% (114)
54.1% (281)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (90)
45.6% (136)
-4.5%
On power play, Legwand has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Legwand is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Legwand shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Home / Away
Legwand
Staal
Home
48.8% (529)
53.9% (825)
Away
43.8% (580)
51.1% (856)
By Period
Legwand
Staal
P1
49.7%
54.8%
P2
45.0%
54.1%
P3
44.8%
48.6%
OT
28.6%
60.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Eric Staal |