Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Legwand 50.2% vs Duchene 54.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Legwand 72.6%
Defensive zone
Legwand 73.3%
Neutral zone
Legwand 73.2%
Result
David Legwand favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Legwand
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Legwand
Duchene
Last 10: Legwand 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Legwand
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Legwand
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
6
Legwand
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Legwand
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (594)
56.8% (706)
-7.6%
Power Play
56.6% (76)
56.1% (57)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (51)
42.3% (130)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Legwand has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Legwand is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Legwand shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Legwand
Duchene
Home
50.3% (350)
56.6% (488)
Away
50.1% (371)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Legwand
Duchene
P1
50.2%
52.0%
P2
56.2%
53.7%
P3
45.4%
58.5%
OT
25.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
50.2%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |