Alexander Wennberg vs Dawson Mercer
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Mercer 41.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 70.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 89.9%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 69.6%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Wennberg
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Wennberg
Mercer
Last 5: Wennberg 5-0 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
4
0
Wennberg
Mercer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
38.8% (263)
+6.9%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
35.3% (17)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
54.5% (11)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Wennberg is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Wennberg shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Mercer
Home
47.0% (621)
35.2% (145)
Away
44.7% (635)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Wennberg
Mercer
P1
44.7%
32.7%
P2
46.1%
42.7%
P3
47.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |