Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.9% vs Staal 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 77.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 64.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Grant
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Grant
Staal
Last 6: Grant 5-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (308)
48.9% (958)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
51.7% (145)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (63)
47.9% (71)
-1.9%
On power play, Grant has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Grant is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Grant shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Grant
Staal
Home
50.9% (161)
49.6% (550)
Away
53.4% (223)
48.7% (624)
By Period
Grant
Staal
P1
53.4%
48.9%
P2
47.9%
47.5%
P3
56.0%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.3%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |