Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Duchene 54.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 60.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 71.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Grant
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Grant
Duchene
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Grant
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (397)
55.4% (1,013)
-0.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
56.3% (192)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
41.2% (17)
+3.3%
On power play, Grant has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Grant shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Grant
Duchene
Home
53.6% (222)
56.2% (642)
Away
51.9% (293)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Grant
Duchene
P1
48.5%
56.2%
P2
54.3%
56.5%
P3
55.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Derek Grant |