Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 50.0%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs MacKenzie 50.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 54.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 56.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 58.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
MacKenzie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
52.5% (564)
-1.8%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
77.8% (9)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
41.7% (199)
+1.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Cizikas is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Cizikas shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Cizikas
MacKenzie
Home
49.8% (486)
52.7% (404)
Away
49.4% (360)
47.0% (368)
By Period
Cizikas
MacKenzie
P1
50.6%
50.0%
P2
46.0%
50.0%
P3
52.4%
49.4%
OT
45.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.6%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |