Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Eichel 41.9% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 77.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 95.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 91.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
MacKenzie
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
MacKenzie
Eichel
Last 8: MacKenzie 7-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Eichel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
41.7% (899)
+14.1%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
37.0% (54)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
25.9% (27)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Eichel is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Eichel
Home
54.4% (463)
43.6% (489)
Away
55.3% (338)
38.5% (491)
By Period
MacKenzie
Eichel
P1
54.2%
42.6%
P2
54.0%
40.7%
P3
56.7%
38.9%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |