Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Richards 49.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 50.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 84.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 79.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
MacKenzie
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKenzie
Richards
Last 6: MacKenzie 4-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Richards
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
50.0% (370)
+11.0%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
50.0% (30)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
39.0% (41)
+10.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Richards
Home
62.1% (145)
52.3% (214)
Away
57.3% (178)
45.8% (227)
By Period
MacKenzie
Richards
P1
51.6%
47.3%
P2
59.8%
53.2%
P3
65.8%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Mike Richards |