Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Reinhart 41.3% (+21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 73.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 95.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 87.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
MacKenzie
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Reinhart
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
30.0% (100)
+25.8%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
71.4% (7)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
100.0% (1)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Reinhart is 30.3% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Reinhart
Home
54.4% (463)
38.0% (50)
Away
55.3% (338)
29.3% (58)
By Period
MacKenzie
Reinhart
P1
54.2%
38.5%
P2
54.0%
31.8%
P3
56.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |