Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Staal 52.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Roy
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Roy
Staal
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
7
1
Roy
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
4
Roy
Staal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
52.5% (1,228)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
54.1% (281)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
45.6% (136)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Home / Away
Roy
Staal
Home
52.4% (683)
53.9% (825)
Away
48.6% (646)
51.1% (856)
By Period
Roy
Staal
P1
48.3%
54.8%
P2
49.5%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
48.6%
OT
48.4%
60.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |