Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Lehtera 51.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 66.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Roy
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Roy
Lehtera
Last 8: Roy 1-7 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Roy
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Roy
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Roy
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
50.6% (884)
-5.8%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
53.5% (155)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
59.1% (22)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Roy
Lehtera
Home
45.8% (421)
55.6% (549)
Away
43.9% (488)
46.5% (512)
By Period
Roy
Lehtera
P1
44.9%
53.8%
P2
43.6%
48.9%
P3
46.4%
50.8%
OT
35.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |