Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cammalleri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Cammalleri 44.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 73.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 72.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Roy
Cammalleri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Roy
Cammalleri
Last 6: Roy 5-1 Cammalleri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Cammalleri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Cammalleri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Cammalleri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Cammalleri
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
40.5% (237)
+4.3%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
69.2% (26)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
26.3% (19)
+16.6%
On power play, Cammalleri has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cammalleri shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Cammalleri is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Roy
Cammalleri
Home
45.8% (421)
41.8% (122)
Away
43.9% (488)
42.5% (160)
By Period
Roy
Cammalleri
P1
44.9%
50.6%
P2
43.6%
37.8%
P3
46.4%
39.8%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Cammalleri
52.0%▬
52.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Derek Roy |