Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.8% vs Ryan 55.2% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 67.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Gaudette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Gaudette
Ryan
Last 10: Gaudette 6-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
4
1
Gaudette
Ryan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
4
Gaudette
Ryan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Gaudette
Ryan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (1,485)
56.6% (4,102)
-12.6%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
53.2% (342)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.8% (649)
-1.1%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Ryan
Home
46.0% (913)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
42.6% (770)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Gaudette
Ryan
P1
44.9%
55.1%
P2
46.6%
54.7%
P3
41.4%
56.0%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |