Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Rose 44.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 74.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 80.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 86.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Ryan
Rose
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ryan
Rose
Last 7: Ryan 5-2 Rose
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Rose
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Rose
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Rose
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Rose
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
42.3% (234)
+11.8%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
16.7% (6)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
52.9% (34)
-7.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rose shoots left. Ryan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Ryan shoots right. Rose is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Ryan
Rose
Home
52.5% (341)
40.7% (140)
Away
52.2% (391)
45.5% (134)
By Period
Ryan
Rose
P1
56.0%
46.9%
P2
48.1%
41.3%
P3
52.8%
40.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |