Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Cullen 53.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.1%
Defensive zone
Cullen 53.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Ryan
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Ryan
Cullen
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
5
Ryan
Cullen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Ryan
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
54.8% (5,371)
+1.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.3% (421)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
48.0% (953)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cullen
Home
56.2% (2,559)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Ryan
Cullen
P1
55.1%
54.7%
P2
54.7%
52.8%
P3
56.0%
53.3%
OT
58.3%
62.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:21 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |