Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 61.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 64.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 65.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Ryan
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ryan
Backstrom
Last 8: Ryan 2-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Ryan
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Ryan
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
51.0% (1,104)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
54.5% (178)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
47.2% (89)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Backstrom is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Ryan
Backstrom
Home
56.7% (466)
52.6% (705)
Away
56.3% (474)
49.7% (666)
By Period
Ryan
Backstrom
P1
55.4%
51.1%
P2
58.1%
51.0%
P3
55.8%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |