Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Hanzal 56.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 85.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 92.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 92.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Stepan
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Stepan
Hanzal
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
7
Stepan
Hanzal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
7
Stepan
Hanzal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
57.1% (1,059)
-8.9%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
60.0% (175)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
45.2% (126)
-7.3%
On power play, Hanzal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Hanzal is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Stepan
Hanzal
Home
46.4% (774)
57.6% (682)
Away
47.7% (748)
55.2% (678)
By Period
Stepan
Hanzal
P1
46.7%
57.8%
P2
46.3%
57.8%
P3
48.1%
53.7%
OT
47.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |