Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Berglund 54.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 70.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 84.2%
Neutral zone
Berglund 79.8%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Stepan
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stepan
Berglund
Last 9: Stepan 6-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
1
Stepan
Berglund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Stepan
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
59.3% (86)
-12.5%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
64.7% (17)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
46.2% (13)
+2.1%
On power play, Berglund has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Berglund is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Stepan
Berglund
Home
48.6% (666)
60.7% (61)
Away
46.1% (710)
56.4% (55)
By Period
Stepan
Berglund
P1
46.3%
66.7%
P2
50.7%
63.0%
P3
45.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |