Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Brassard wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 45.7% vs Benn 46.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 56.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 67.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 56.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Brassard
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Brassard
Benn
Last 7: Brassard 1-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Brassard
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
5
Brassard
Benn
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (530)
46.4% (612)
-1.3%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
43.2% (95)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
57.6% (33)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Brassard is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Brassard shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Brassard
Benn
Home
45.4% (284)
48.5% (377)
Away
44.7% (333)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Brassard
Benn
P1
51.2%
40.4%
P2
40.3%
52.1%
P3
43.2%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |