Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Moore 52.9% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 95.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 78.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 89.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Stepan
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Stepan
Moore
Last 7: Stepan 0-7 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
2
Stepan
Moore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
3
Stepan
Moore
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
2
Stepan
Moore
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
55.0% (676)
-16.4%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
49.1% (53)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
47.1% (155)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Stepan shoots right. Moore is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Stepan
Moore
Home
39.0% (364)
54.3% (420)
Away
38.0% (355)
52.3% (472)
By Period
Stepan
Moore
P1
39.4%
56.1%
P2
40.6%
48.9%
P3
36.4%
53.8%
OT
12.5%
64.3%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |