Scouting Report
Adam Ruzicka holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ruzicka 47.4% vs Toninato 44.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ruzicka 68.7%
Defensive zone
Toninato 58.9%
Neutral zone
Ruzicka 55.9%
Result
Adam Ruzicka favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Ruzicka
Toninato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ruzicka
Toninato
Last 5: Ruzicka 3-2 Toninato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ruzicka
Toninato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
0
1
Ruzicka
Toninato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ruzicka
2
0
Ruzicka
Toninato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ruzicka
Toninato
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (219)
43.5% (184)
+3.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
50.0% (4)
-25.0%
On power play, Toninato has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toninato shoots left. Ruzicka is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Ruzicka shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Ruzicka
Toninato
Home
47.8% (134)
45.6% (114)
Away
43.8% (89)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Ruzicka
Toninato
P1
43.4%
37.3%
P2
51.9%
41.7%
P3
42.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ruzicka
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.2%
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Adam Ruzicka |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |