Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.5% vs 38.4%). Brown wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 41.5% vs Joseph 40.9% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Joseph 62.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 56.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 52.5%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Brown
Joseph
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (198)
37.4% (337)
+0.0%
Power Play
46.9% (49)
57.1% (7)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (39)
47.6% (21)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Joseph has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Brown is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Brown shoots right. Joseph is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Brown
Joseph
Home
38.6% (145)
38.8% (183)
Away
38.3% (141)
37.9% (182)
By Period
Brown
Joseph
P1
34.3%
36.2%
P2
37.6%
29.4%
P3
45.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
36.2%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
28.0%▼
36.0%
38.5%
Joseph
44.0%▲
41.5%
38.4%