Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Thorburn wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 53.0% vs Cozens 48.5% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 54.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Thorburn
Cozens
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (504)
49.0% (4,103)
+6.8%
Power Play
44.4% (18)
50.3% (717)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (91)
41.0% (439)
+1.9%
On even strength, Thorburn has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Thorburn is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Thorburn shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Cozens
Home
55.7% (305)
48.3% (2,685)
Away
51.3% (308)
48.7% (2,574)
By Period
Thorburn
Cozens
P1
54.9%
49.1%
P2
55.1%
47.8%
P3
51.1%
48.9%
OT
20.0%
34.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
53.5%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%