Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Norris 49.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 54.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 61.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Cozens
Norris
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
50.5% (388)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
47.6% (84)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.9% (7)
-9.6%
On power play, Cozens has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
54.8% (383)
48.1% (233)
Away
52.3% (354)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
56.0%
53.1%
P2
51.2%
49.2%
P3
53.9%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |