Dylan Cozens vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.2% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 59.7%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 76.0%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 57.4%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Cozens
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Rasmussen
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
3
Cozens
Rasmussen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Rasmussen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (634)
46.8% (248)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.7% (97)
62.5% (8)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.8% (16)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Cozens shoots right. Rasmussen is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Cozens
Rasmussen
Home
54.8% (383)
50.0% (98)
Away
52.3% (354)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Cozens
Rasmussen
P1
56.0%
40.2%
P2
51.2%
55.8%
P3
53.9%
43.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:53 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |