Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.4%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.6% vs Larkin 52.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.5%
Defensive zone
Copp 52.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Copp
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Copp
Larkin
Last 8: Copp 2-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
4
Copp
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (455)
51.0% (973)
+3.9%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
59.5% (252)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
49.6% (137)
-5.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Copp is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Copp shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Home / Away
Copp
Larkin
Home
53.4% (309)
54.9% (721)
Away
52.5% (276)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Copp
Larkin
P1
55.6%
52.4%
P2
51.6%
50.8%
P3
51.6%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.0%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |