Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). White wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 47.7% vs Larkin 54.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 72.1%
Defensive zone
White 71.0%
Neutral zone
White 69.9%
Result
Colin White favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
White
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
White
Larkin
Last 6: White 1-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
White
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
White
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
White
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (687)
52.9% (1,228)
-6.8%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
63.1% (214)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
55.2% (145)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. White is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
White shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
White
Larkin
Home
47.8% (410)
55.8% (805)
Away
47.0% (389)
53.2% (782)
By Period
White
Larkin
P1
44.5%
55.2%
P2
47.9%
53.3%
P3
49.8%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
47.4%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |