Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.0%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Stützle 52.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 70.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.0%
Neutral zone
Stützle 50.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Larkin
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Stützle
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Larkin
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
52.7% (501)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
54.2% (59)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
56.3% (32)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stützle
Home
51.7% (686)
51.9% (285)
Away
53.0% (658)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Larkin
Stützle
P1
52.5%
51.6%
P2
52.7%
55.4%
P3
51.4%
52.2%
OT
61.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |