Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 61.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Larkin
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Trocheck
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Larkin
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
58.0% (666)
-6.9%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
64.8% (165)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
43.4% (152)
+4.8%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Larkin
Trocheck
Home
51.7% (686)
55.3% (436)
Away
53.0% (658)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Larkin
Trocheck
P1
52.5%
56.4%
P2
52.7%
58.7%
P3
51.4%
55.5%
OT
61.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |