Scouting Report
William Nylander holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Nylander 51.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Larkin
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Larkin
Nylander
Last 9: Larkin 1-8 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
1
4
Larkin
Nylander
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
2
Larkin
Nylander
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
2
Larkin
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
51.7% (574)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
47.9% (73)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
66.7% (3)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Nylander is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nylander
Home
51.4% (652)
51.8% (336)
Away
48.5% (662)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Larkin
Nylander
P1
49.1%
53.6%
P2
52.0%
44.4%
P3
48.0%
55.4%
OT
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
49.9%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |