Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Nylander 50.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 56.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.6%
Neutral zone
Nylander 50.1%
Result
William Nylander favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Larkin
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Nylander
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
2
Larkin
Nylander
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Nylander
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
49.2% (193)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
52.9% (17)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
100.0% (2)
-50.4%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Nylander is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Larkin
Nylander
Home
54.9% (721)
57.1% (119)
Away
49.6% (641)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Larkin
Nylander
P1
52.4%
45.8%
P2
50.8%
47.1%
P3
54.4%
59.3%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |