Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Strome 48.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 55.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 92.9%
Neutral zone
Dewar 75.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Dewar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Dewar
Strome
Last 9: Dewar 2-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
6
Dewar
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
48.3% (894)
-2.9%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
50.5% (182)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
66.7% (6)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Dewar
Strome
Home
43.3% (238)
46.4% (513)
Away
44.9% (265)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Dewar
Strome
P1
41.7%
44.9%
P2
46.1%
50.8%
P3
44.4%
49.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
44.1%
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |