Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 79.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 87.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 67.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Strome
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Strome
Bjugstad
Last 5: Strome 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Strome
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Strome
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
49.7% (292)
+6.7%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
50.0% (6)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
47.2% (36)
-5.5%
On power play, Strome has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Strome shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Strome
Bjugstad
Home
55.7% (627)
48.7% (193)
Away
62.5% (586)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Strome
Bjugstad
P1
61.7%
41.5%
P2
55.7%
57.3%
P3
60.1%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |