Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 72.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 64.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Lindholm
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
3
Lindholm
Draisaitl
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
1
Lindholm
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
55.9% (835)
-1.1%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
61.8% (228)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
50.0% (40)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Home
56.6% (578)
55.1% (508)
Away
54.9% (455)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Lindholm
Draisaitl
P1
55.2%
55.8%
P2
56.3%
55.7%
P3
56.3%
59.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |