Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Krebs 45.4% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 96.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 87.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 88.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Lindholm
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Lindholm
Krebs
Last 7: Lindholm 6-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Krebs
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
44.4% (403)
+10.4%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
33.3% (6)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
45.0% (20)
+7.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Krebs
Home
56.6% (578)
46.3% (205)
Away
54.9% (455)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Lindholm
Krebs
P1
55.2%
47.0%
P2
56.3%
45.4%
P3
56.3%
40.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |