Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Rakell 41.0% (+20.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 85.9%
Defensive zone
Rakell 67.9%
Neutral zone
Rakell 78.0%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Lindholm
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lindholm
Rakell
Last 6: Lindholm 1-5 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
3
Lindholm
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
2
Lindholm
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
35.7% (129)
+19.1%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
43.8% (32)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
0.0% (7)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Rakell is 31.0% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rakell
Home
56.6% (578)
41.5% (82)
Away
54.9% (455)
30.2% (86)
By Period
Lindholm
Rakell
P1
55.2%
35.1%
P2
56.3%
37.5%
P3
56.3%
32.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Rakell
42.0%▲
35.5%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |