Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Thomas 51.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 63.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 69.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Lindholm
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lindholm
Thomas
Last 7: Lindholm 2-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Lindholm
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Lindholm
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
50.3% (652)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
61.5% (104)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
54.2% (120)
-2.0%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thomas
Home
56.6% (578)
52.0% (400)
Away
54.9% (455)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Lindholm
Thomas
P1
55.2%
49.6%
P2
56.3%
55.4%
P3
56.3%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |