Connor Bedard vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Pettersson 47.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 63.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Bedard
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Bedard
Pettersson
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
3
Bedard
Pettersson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
4
Bedard
Pettersson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
45.9% (834)
-1.7%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
55.1% (256)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
35.7% (112)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pettersson
Home
50.7% (223)
49.1% (607)
Away
42.6% (331)
44.7% (595)
By Period
Bedard
Pettersson
P1
40.2%
45.5%
P2
49.2%
48.0%
P3
47.2%
47.1%
OT
57.1%
47.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |