Connor Bedard vs Elias Pettersson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Pettersson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Bedard 46.5% vs Pettersson 47.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor Pettersson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Pettersson 53.5%
Defensive zone Bedard 63.6%
Neutral zone Bedard 53.7%
Result Connor Bedard favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Bedard Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 8 (12 meetings)
4
8
Bedard Pettersson
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Pettersson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
3
Bedard Pettersson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
4
Bedard Pettersson
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Bedard
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
45.9% (834)
-1.7%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
55.1% (256)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
35.7% (112)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +18.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pettersson
Home
50.7% (223)
49.1% (607)
Away
42.6% (331)
44.7% (595)
By Period
Bedard
Pettersson
P1
40.2%
45.5%
P2
49.2%
48.0%
P3
47.2%
47.1%
OT
57.1%
47.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
43.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%
45.0%
45.8%
Pettersson
44.0%
52.5%
46.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 6, 2026 3 05:49 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Mar 6, 2026 1 17:03 Offensive Connor Bedard
Nov 5, 2025 3 18:37 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 5, 2025 3 07:39 Neutral Elias Pettersson
Nov 5, 2025 3 03:32 Offensive Connor Bedard
Nov 5, 2025 3 03:06 Neutral Elias Pettersson
Nov 5, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Connor Bedard
Nov 5, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Elias Pettersson
Nov 5, 2025 1 19:23 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 5, 2025 1 10:15 Defensive Connor Bedard
Nov 5, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Elias Pettersson
Oct 17, 2025 2 12:04 Offensive Elias Pettersson