Elias Pettersson vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Barzal 41.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 65.5%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Pettersson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Pettersson
Barzal
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Pettersson
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Barzal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
40.9% (469)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
34.2% (38)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
28.6% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Barzal
Home
49.1% (607)
39.2% (250)
Away
44.7% (595)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Pettersson
Barzal
P1
45.5%
46.3%
P2
48.0%
36.7%
P3
47.1%
38.5%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |