Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Acciari 50.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 91.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 65.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Pettersson
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Pettersson
Acciari
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
0
Pettersson
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
7
Pettersson
Acciari
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
52.7% (313)
-6.8%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
33.3% (18)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
49.7% (195)
-14.0%
On power play, Pettersson has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Acciari
Home
49.1% (607)
52.6% (291)
Away
44.7% (595)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Pettersson
Acciari
P1
45.5%
53.7%
P2
48.0%
51.1%
P3
47.1%
48.5%
OT
47.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |