Elias Pettersson vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Thomas 51.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 70.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 88.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 88.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Pettersson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Pettersson
Thomas
Last 8: Pettersson 7-1 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
1
Pettersson
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
50.3% (652)
-4.4%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
61.5% (104)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
54.2% (120)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Thomas
Home
49.1% (607)
52.0% (400)
Away
44.7% (595)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Pettersson
Thomas
P1
45.5%
49.6%
P2
48.0%
55.4%
P3
47.1%
51.0%
OT
47.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |