Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs Pinto 51.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 88.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 63.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Pettersson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pettersson
Pinto
Last 6: Pettersson 4-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Pettersson
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
50.5% (556)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
68.0% (25)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
51.1% (94)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Pettersson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Pettersson shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pinto
Home
49.1% (607)
50.0% (310)
Away
44.9% (575)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Pettersson
Pinto
P1
46.1%
51.8%
P2
48.1%
49.8%
P3
46.8%
53.1%
OT
47.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |