Elias Pettersson vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Thompson 45.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 58.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Pettersson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pettersson
Thompson
Last 6: Pettersson 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Pettersson
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
44.6% (661)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
48.4% (95)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
33.3% (33)
+2.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Thompson
Home
49.1% (607)
45.7% (411)
Away
44.7% (595)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Pettersson
Thompson
P1
45.5%
47.7%
P2
48.0%
45.7%
P3
47.1%
40.5%
OT
47.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |