Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Spezza 53.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Staal
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Spezza
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Staal
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Staal
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
52.6% (346)
-3.0%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
61.0% (41)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
72.7% (11)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Staal
Spezza
Home
52.0% (542)
56.0% (175)
Away
46.6% (457)
52.5% (223)
By Period
Staal
Spezza
P1
44.2%
56.8%
P2
50.3%
54.3%
P3
52.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |