Scouting Report
Erik Cole holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Cole wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cole 40.4% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.1%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 61.9%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 51.5%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Cole
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cole
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (120)
34.5% (931)
+0.5%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
44.2% (52)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (14)
24.3% (37)
-2.9%
On power play, Buchnevich has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Cole is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Cole shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Cole
Buchnevich
Home
37.4% (115)
35.6% (517)
Away
34.3% (99)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Cole
Buchnevich
P1
40.8%
35.2%
P2
35.6%
34.8%
P3
29.5%
33.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.2%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cole
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.0%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%