Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Toews 60.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 90.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 68.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 83.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Haula
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Haula
Toews
Last 8: Haula 5-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
62.6% (728)
-12.7%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
59.4% (143)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
46.9% (32)
-4.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Haula
Toews
Home
48.5% (468)
61.1% (455)
Away
51.1% (423)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Haula
Toews
P1
52.5%
59.7%
P2
51.1%
66.7%
P3
45.9%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |